Thesis supervisor: Tamás Gáspár
Location of studies (in Hungarian): Budapest Business School Abbreviation of location of studies: BGE
Description of the research topic:
The networked global world can increasingly be characterised by volatility, uncertainty, complexity and ambiguity (VUCA). These changes modify the social-economic relations in a wide range including the systemic thinking, anticipating and activity. Managing the new era, both the individual life and the operation of the companies demand future competencies and methods: the exploration of the changing option-space and the cooperative-participative techniques. Private and corporate lives as learning processes also face a deliberate change. Foresight offers theoretical-methodological foundations for managing these changes. The wide range of methods varies by the aim and the type of the research, by the time frame as well as the stability of the environment. The topic differs from classical forecasting. Researchers will provide new results in terms of competency and methodological development handling the uncertain and fast changing world.
Key words: futures literacy, participative-cooperative methods, varieties of the Delphi method, Cross-impact analysis, Scenario method, Casual Layered Analysis, Futures drama, World café as well as many combinations of the different methods.